My friend Dorian raised an interesting question the other day: Assume that you are negotiating with someone, and the strength of your position depends on a certain fact F. You know F; we’ll describe this state of affairs as Yk F. Presumably, you also know that you know F (Yk Yk F), and perhaps turtles all the way down, if you keep thinking about it.
UPDATE (6/1/2004) The KK principle is not uncontested; I don’t know whether I believe it or not. Certainly if I believed it when I first wrote this, I am less sure now.
The person you’re negotiating with may know F as well, which is one fact (we’ll call this Pk F). Furthermore, she may know that you know F as well: thus, Pk Yk F. The question, is this: How many times must an alternating sequence of Pk and Yk repeat before it quiesces? That is, does Pk Yk Pk Yk Pk F tell you (or your opponent) anything more than Yk Pk Yk Pk Yk Pk F? We didn’t, I believe, reach a consensus on this; I thought that you learned nothing new after Yk Pk Yk F, while Dorian asserted that that point occured after Pk Yk Pk Yk F. Neither of us was particularly confident in the rigor of our case, though, and I conceded that it might be context-dependent. Hopefully, this is a fun puzzle to think about (at least, if you don’t already have some formalism that makes this result into an axiom).
There are certainly, I would imagine, benefits to one’s chess and/or bridge game from having a good grasp on this sort of puzzle.
By way of trying to get a more rigorous approach to this problem, I began thinking about systems for epistemic and doxastic logic in general. Apparently, the standard work in this area is Knowledge and Belief: An Introduction to the Logic of the Two Notions by Jaakko Hintikka. I haven’t read this, but the impression I get from reading papers that cite it is that it is fairly difficult.
It seems to me that treating knowledge or belief as a modal operator is not as straightforward as treating, say, necessity or possibility as one. Furthermore, belief (at least), is suceptible to the lottery paradox: that is, one may be certain that any single lottery ticket is not a winner (Nw Ln), but one would be foolish to assert that Nw L1 & L2 & … & Ln. This, however, is a problem of degrees; even total certainty is something less than necessity. The problem of treating knowledge as necessity is perspicuous when one reads a Sherlock Holmes story — if knowledge really were like necessity, then we would know the logical consequences of facts we know, and Holmes’ deductive ability would be unremarkable.
Perhaps a better analogy for knowledge is presented by intuitionistic logic: certainly, knowledge does not fulfill the law of excluded middle, in the sense that Yk (p v ~p) is not a tautology (while necessity — M (p v ~p) — is), just as there may not exist either a proof or a disproof of a certain theorem. It seems, also, that it is difficult or impossible to “know” what someone else knows (and, contrary to my first paragraph, many have argued that it is difficult or impossible to know what you know); therefore, it seems that we are rapidly in the realm of belief, and therefore, degrees, with the quiescence puzzle.
I’ll likely write more on this as I have some clearer ideas. Don’t hold your breath!